Implied Expectations

Implied Expectations

JD.com 3Q 2018 Update

My thoughts on JD’s third quarter

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Implied Expectations
Dec 04, 2018
∙ Paid
  • JD's third-quarter report showed 25% revenue growth and fourth-quarter guidance of 18%-23%. A macro-driven slowdown is occurring, especially in big ticket durable goods.

  • Management was clear that margin expansion is coming. Core JD Mall margins are improving and JD Logistics margins should significantly improve.

  • JD appears extremely well-positioned to capitalize on China's multi-decade growth runway. Macro headwinds and Richard Liu's legal issues are providing a great entry point for long-term investors.

  • A resolution to the U.S.-China trade war would likely help improve macroeconomic conditions and confidence in China.

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